Thursday, September 1, 2011

LOUISIANA WEATHER - September 1, 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE

A broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south of the Louisiana coast is producing a large area of cloudiness, thunderstorms and gusty winds over the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development and this system could become a tropical depression during the next day or so.  A NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area later this afternoon.  This system has a high chance, 80 percent, of becoming a tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly northwestward.  Interests along the entire northern Gulf of Mexico coast should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

 
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA: This afternoon has a 40 percent chance for thunderstorms decreasing to 30 percent tonight. Friday has a 70 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms increasing to 80 percent at night. Saturday and Sunday has an 80 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms decreasing to 70 percent at night. Monday (Labor Day) has a heavy chance for thunderstorms throughout the day and night.
Temperatures: today: 93/77, Friday: 89/76, Saturday: 85/76, Sunday: 85/78, Monday: 86/77
Hazardous Weather:  A coastal flood statement is in effect for south and east facing shores in anticipation of higher than normal tides this weekend. A coastal flood watch will likely be issued later today. A flash flood watch is in effect today through Sunday in anticipation of frequent heavy rains from tropical showers and thunderstorms. This flash flood watch will likely be extended further north. A hydrologic outlook has been issued for the Florida parishes of Southeast Louisiana and Pearl River, Mississippi to highlight the threat of flooding rains this weekend. A small craft advisory is in effect for strong east to southeast winds and building rough seas. A gale warning or tropical storm warning may be required later today depending on developments in the Gulf. Tropical waterspouts are likely today, some of which may encroach onto beach fronts and marshes before lifting. Smoke will continue to produce an unhealthy situation for persons with respiratory diseases, elderly and children generally in the greater New Orleans area westward across the river parishes into the Baton Rouge metro area. Rainfall may aid in extinguishing the New Orleans East fire today.

 

Flash flood and coastal flood threat will continue through the Labor Day weekend, possibly through Wednesday. Marine hazards will be dependent on tropical cyclone or low pressure development in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Small craft advisories, gale warnings or tropical storm warnings may be expected through the weekend.

 
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA: This afternoon has a 50 percent chance for thunderstorms increasing to 70 percent tonight. Friday and Saturday has an 80 percent chance for thunderstorms throughout the day and night. Sunday has an 80 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms decreasing to 60 percent at night. Monday (Labor Day) has a 50 percent of thunderstorms throughout the day and night.
Temperatures: Today: 91/75, Friday: 86/75, Saturday: 86/76, Sunday: 81/73, Monday: 81/73 
HAZARDOUS WEATHER:  A large tropical wave has stalled across the western Gulf of Mexico.

Showers and thunderstorms will increase across Acadiana for the remainder of today. In addition, increasing easterly winds over the near-shore waters may cause a pile-up of water at the coast. A coastal flood watch is now in effect.

 

Uncertainty remains high about further deepening and movement of the tropical wave. At present, very heavy rainfall is likely with flash flooding a possibility.

 

CENTRAL LOUISIANA: This afternoon has a20 percent chance for thunderstorms decreasing to 10 percent tonight. Friday has a 20 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms increasing to 40 percent at night. Saturday has n 80 percent chance for daytime and nighttime thunderstorms while Sunday has an 80 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms decreasing to 60 percent at night. Monday (Labor Day) has a 50 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms decreasing to 20 percent at night.

Temperatures:  Today: 94/73, Friday: 91/72, Saturday: 86/74, Sunday: 83/73, Monday: 82/68 
HAZARDOUS WEATHER:    A large tropical wave has stalled across the western Gulf of Mexico.

Showers and thunderstorms will increase across Acadiana for the remainder of today. In addition, increasing easterly winds over the near-shore waters may cause a pile-up of water at the coast. A coastal flood watch is now in effect.

 

Uncertainty remains high about further deepening and movement of the tropical wave. At present, very heavy rainfall is likely with flash flooding a possibility.

 
NORTHERN LOUISIANA: Tonight will be partly cloudy. Tomorrow will be hot and sunny during the day with a 20 percent chance for nighttime showers. Saturday has a 20 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms increasing to 30 percent at night. Sunday has a 40 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms decreasing to 30 percent at night. Monday (Labor Day) has a 20 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms improving to partly cloudy at night.
Temperatures:  Tonight: 73, Friday: 96/71, Saturday: 94/74, Sunday:  90/69, Monday: 90/66
HAZARDOUS WEATHER:   No Hazardous Weather to Report

 

Captain Tommy C. Boyett, LEM-P

Director, West Feliciana OHSEP

P.O. Box 796

9938 West Feliciana Parkway

St. Francisville, LA 70775

Cell (225) 245-4221

Office (225) 635-6428

Fax (225) 635-6996

tboyett@wfpso.org

tcboyett@gmail.com

wfpeoc@att.net