Friday, July 29, 2011

LOUISIANA WEATHER - July 29, 2011

TROPICAL STORM DON:
GOHSEP and the National Weather Service in conjunction with The National Hurricane Center are monitoring Tropical Storm Don located about 255 miles southeast of Corpus Christi Texas.  TS Don is tracking west-northwest at a forward speed of 14 mph. Don is forecast to make landfall near Baffin Bay around midnight tonight.  Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours; however Don is forecast to remain a tropical storm. There will be minimal local impacts to southwest Louisiana to include a small rise in tides and slightly enhanced rain chances mainly along the Interstate 10 corridor.

SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA: Today there is a 40 percent chance for daytime thunderstorms and partly cloudy evening skies. Saturday and Sunday will see a 20-30 percent chance of scattered and isolated thunderstorms throughout the day. Monday shows an increase of daytime thunderstorms to 40 percent with a decrease in the evening to 20 percent continuing into Tuesday.
Temperatures: Today: 92/76, Saturday: 92/76, Sunday: 94/77, Monday: 95/76, Tuesday: 94/76.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected today. A few of the showers and thunderstorms may produce wind gusts of 30 to 35 mph and will also be capable of producing frequent lightning and brief periods of locally heavy rainfall.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected each day, mainly during the afternoon hours. High temperatures will rise into the mid 90s across most areas each day. With a moist air mass in place, heat index values will likely reach or exceed 105 degrees over a large portion of the area for a few hours each afternoon.

SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA:
Today has a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms with a decrease to 20 percent in the evening. Saturday through Monday will see a 20-30 percent slight chance for thunderstorms throughout the day each day. Tuesday is forecast to have a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms during the day decreasing in the evening to a 20 percent chance.
Temperatures: Today: 88/77, Saturday: 91/76, Sunday: 95/77, Monday: 95/77, Tuesday: 95/77.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected through the afternoon hours. The main threat from these storms will be localized heavy rains of 1 to 2 inches over a short period of time, which will quickly result in ponding of water on roadways. As Tropical Storm Don makes landfall across the lower Texas coast this evening, the chances of showers and thunderstorms will decrease from east to west during the overnight hours. Another weakness aloft will bring increased chances of showers and thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday, diminishing later in the week as high pressure aloft continues over the central and southern United States.

CENTRAL LOUISIANA: Today has a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms with a decrease to 20 percent in the evening. Saturday and Sunday will see a 20 percent slight chance for thunderstorms throughout the day each day. Monday and Tuesday is forecast to have a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms during the day then decreasing in the evening to 20 percent.
Temperatures: Today: 90/75, Saturday: 93/75, Sunday: 96/76, Monday: 96/76, Tuesday: 96/76.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected through the afternoon hours. The main threat from these storms will be localized heavy rains of 1 to 2 inches over a short period of time, which will quickly result in ponding of water on roadways.

NORTHERN LOUISIANA: Today has a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms with a decrease to 30 percent chance in the evenings. Saturday through Monday will see a 20-30 percent slight chance for thunderstorms throughout the day each day. Tuesday is forecast to be sunny and hot with partly cloudy evening skies.
Temperatures: Today: 92/76, Saturday: 97/77, Sunday: 100/78, Monday: 101/78, Tuesday: 102/79.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase across the four state region today. The better potential for convection development will be over east Texas into northwest and north central Louisiana. The showers and thunderstorms should move to the west and northwest. Any thunderstorm that develops will have the potential to produce strong and gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. With the increased rain chances and cloud cover, daytime temperatures will be lower. Heat index values will also be lower.

Captain Tommy C. Boyett, LEM-P

Director, West Feliciana OHSEP

P.O. Box 796

9938 West Feliciana Parkway

St. Francisville, LA 70775

Cell (225) 245-4221

Office (225) 635-6428

Fax (225) 635-6996

tboyett@wfpso.org

tcboyett@gmail.com

wfpeoc@att.net