Monday, November 29, 2010

LOUISIANA WEATHER - November 29, 2010

SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA: Today has a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms with an increase to 100 percent in the evening. Tuesday will have an 80 percent chance of showers during the day and clearing up in the evening. Wednesday through Friday is forecast to be sunny and clear each day.
Temperatures: Today: 77/59, Tuesday: 60/34, Wednesday: 57/33, Thursday: 63/38, Friday: 64/44.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of a cold front this afternoon. An isolated strong or severe thunderstorm may occur with this activity. A strong cold front will produce a squall line that will move through the area late tonight and Tuesday morning with a slight risk of severe weather. The main threats from any severe thunderstorms will be strong, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

Small craft advisories have been posted for most coastal waters through tonight. Once the cold front moves through Tuesday morning northwest winds will increase rapidly to around 30 mph or possibly higher. A gale watch has been issued for all open gulf waters.

SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA:
Today has a 60 percent chance of severe thunderstorms throughout the day. Tuesday will have a 30 percent chance of showers during the day and clearing up in the evening. Wednesday through Friday is forecast to be sunny and mostly clear each day.
Temperatures: Today: 77/54, Tuesday: 60/32, Wednesday: 61/36, Thursday: 65/42, Friday: 67/45.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Showers and thunderstorms are expected to form along an advancing warm front this morning and into the afternoon. This afternoon the warm front is forecast to be located across central Louisiana. There is the potential that some of these thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. Another round of thunderstorms are forecast to develop late this afternoon and evening in advance of a cold front these thunderstorms are expected to develop into lines and thus damaging winds will be the main concern, however if individual thunderstorms do develop ahead of the line, these individual storms will pose a tornado risk. Strong southerly winds are forecast to develop along the coastal parishes today with 15 to 25 mph winds and gust. A lake wind advisory has been issued for today.

Temperatures are forecast to drop below freezing Wednesday morning mainly along and north of Interstate 10. Freezing temperatures will be possible again Thursday morning across central Louisiana.

CENTRAL LOUISIANA: Today has a 70 percent chance of severe thunderstorms decreasing to 60 percent in the evening. Tuesday will have a 30 percent chance of showers during the day and clearing up in the evening. Wednesday through Friday is forecast to be sunny and mostly clear each day.
Temperatures: Today: 76/50, Tuesday: 54/30, Wednesday: 60/33, Thursday: 64/38, Friday: 66/43.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Showers and thunderstorms are expected to form along an advancing warm front this morning and into the afternoon. This afternoon the warm front is forecast to be located across central Louisiana. There is the potential that some of these thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. Another round of thunderstorms are forecast to develop late this afternoon and evening in advance of a cold front these thunderstorms are expected to develop into lines and thus damaging winds will be the main concern, however if individual thunderstorms do develop ahead of the line, these individual storms will pose a tornado risk. Strong southerly winds are forecast to develop along the coastal parishes today with 15 to 25 mph winds and gusty. A lake wind advisory has been issued for today.

Temperatures are forecast to drop below freezing Wednesday morning mainly along and north of Interstate 10. Freezing temperatures will be possible again Thursday morning across central Louisiana.

NORTHERN LOUISIANA: Today has a 90 percent chance of thunderstorms decreasing to 20 percent in the evening. Tuesday will have a 20 percent chance of showers and sleet during the day before noon and clearing up in the evening. Wednesday through Friday is forecast to be mostly sunny and partly cloudy in the evenings.
Temperatures: Today: 71/43, Tuesday: 53/29, Wednesday: 57/33, Thursday: 62/37, Friday: 64/44.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: Low level moisture will continue to increase across Louisiana and Arkansas throughout much of today, all ahead of a strong cold front and associated strong upper level storm system pushing out of the plains. Showers and thunderstorms will continue developing along and ahead the cold front as moisture continues to increase and daytime heating helps to destabilize the atmosphere. Rainfall may be heavy at times and damaging winds will be possible from any of the stronger storms through the afternoon and even early evening over north central Louisiana.

A weaker upper disturbance will move overhead on Tuesday. The cold air will be in place over the region, but well above freezing at this time. However, due to drier air in the lower levels, precipitation from the upper disturbance will initially evaporate, helping to further cool the air. Light rain may mix with pockets of sleet. Not unlike the weather last Friday morning, no accumulation is expected. The rest of the week looks fair and cool with more light rain perhaps over the weekend.

Captain Tommy C. Boyett, LEM

Director, West Feliciana OHSEP

P.O. Box 796

9938 West Feliciana Parkway

St. Francisville, LA 70775

Cell (225) 245-4221

Office (225) 635-6428

Fax (225) 635-6996

tboyett@wfpso.org

tcboyett@gmail.com

wfpeoc@att.net