SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA: Today will be sunny with highs in the upper 60’s during the daytime hours. Tonight will be partly cloudy with a low near 51°. Thursday has a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms with an increase to 70 percent in the evening, which will move into Friday. Saturday and Sunday will be sunny during the day and mostly clear in the evening.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: A chance for showers and thunderstorms will return over interior southeast Texas into central Louisiana Thursday afternoon, overspreading the entire forecast area Thursday night into Friday. This activity will develop ahead of a potent storm system currently just off the Baja peninsula that will be advancing east through the southern plains into the Mississippi valley. Significant rains are anticipated with this system with 2 inches common along the Interstate 10 corridor, possibly approaching 3 inches over central Louisiana and interior southeast Texas. Isolated higher amounts will be possible. While heavy rains remain the primary threat, this system does have severe weather producing wind profiles. At this time however instability appears limited and will hamper any severe thunderstorm development. A steady increase of winds over the coastal waters will bring the potential need for issuance of a small craft advisory for Thursday and Thursday night.
The Sabine River at Deweyville is currently at 24.16 feet (minor flood stage). The river will remain at this level for the next few days. Flood stage is 24 feet. At 24-25 feet, minor lowland flooding may occur. Low-lying roads in southwestern Beauregard Parish including Robert Clark Road may have water over them.
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA: Today and Thursday will be sunny with highs in the 60’s during the daytime hours. Tonight will be partly cloudy with a low near 44°. Thursday evening has a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Friday has a 90 percent chance of showers during the day with a decrease to 40 percent in the evening. Saturday and Sunday will be sunny during the day and mostly clear in the evenings.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: An area of low pressure and associated frontal system will move through the region on Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will accompany this weather system. Strong to possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main threat would be damaging winds, however, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. In addition, one to two inches of rain will be possible as this system moves through the area.
The Pearl River at Bogalusa is currently at 19.98 feet (minor flood stage). Flood stage is 18 feet. The impact between 18.5 to 20 feet, woodlands and crop acreage along the river will be flooded. The Bogue Chitto wildlife management area will be inundated with water in recreational camps and over access roads.
The Pearl River at Pearl River is currently at 14.32 feet (minor flood stage). Flood stage is 14 feet, impact expected is secondary roads to the river and throughout Honey Island Swamp are inundated. Property in the vicinity of the gage is flooded threatening about 20 homes along the left bank.
CENTRAL LOUISIANA: Today will be sunny with highs in the upper 60’s during the daytime hours. Tonight will be partly cloudy with a low near 46°. Thursday has a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms with an increase to 70 percent in the evening, which will move into Friday. Saturday and Sunday will be sunny during the day and mostly clear in the evening. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will have temperatures below freezing in the evenings.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: A chance for showers and thunderstorms will return over interior southeast Texas into central Louisiana Thursday afternoon, overspreading the entire forecast area Thursday night into Friday. This activity will develop ahead of a potent storm system currently just off the Baja peninsula that will be advancing east through the southern plains into the Mississippi valley. Significant rains are anticipated with this system with 2 inches common along the Interstate 10 corridor, possibly approaching 3 inches over central Louisiana and interior southeast Texas. Isolated higher amounts will be possible. While heavy rains remain the primary threat, this system does have severe weather producing wind profiles. At this time however instability appears limited and will hamper any severe thunderstorm development.
NORTHERN LOUISIANA: Today will be mostly cloudy with highs in the low 60’s during the daytime. Tonight has a 20 percent chance of showers with a low near 46°. Thursday will see a 60 percent chance of showers during the daytime, then increasing to a 90 percent chance in the evening. Friday has a 60 percent chance of showers and mostly cloudy in the evening. Saturday and Sunday will be sunny and mostly clear in the evenings. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will have temperatures below freezing in the evenings.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER: An upper level disturbance will move into the four state regions Wednesday night through Friday. This will bring showers and isolated thunderstorms back to the region, especially Thursday and Thursday night. Heavy rainfall will be possible Thursday night into Friday. Rainfall amounts of around two inches are possible during this time period. Isolated higher amounts will be possible under the heavier downpours of a thunderstorm. This rainfall could result in flooding problems of low lying and poor drainage areas.
Bodcau Bayou at Bayou Bodcau Lake is currently at 183.93 feet (minor flood stage). Flood stage is 183 feet. Minor flood stage is between 172 and 192 feet. Between 170 to192 feet, expect minor lowland flooding along the lake. Red Chute Bayou below the lake may be at bank full. Some secondary roadways may suffer flooding.
Ouachita River at Monroe is currently at 41.17 feet (minor flood stage). The river is expected to stay at this level throughout the week. Flood stage is 40 feet. Minor backwater flooding will affect small bayous that drain into the Ouachita River along with minor lowland flooding immediately adjacent to the river.
Bayou Dorcheat at Dixie Inn is currently at 15.01 feet (minor flood stage). The Bayou is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon. Flood stage is 14 feet; impact expected is minor lowland flooding with the boat ramp suffering overflow
Bayou Dorcheat near Springhill is currently at 13.34 feet (minor flood stage). The Bayou will steadily recede over the next few days. Flood stage is 11 feet; impact expected is minor lowland flooding.
Captain Tommy C. Boyett
Director, West Feliciana OHSEP
P.O. Box 796
9938 West Feliciana Parkway
St. Francisville, LA 70775
Cell (225) 245-4221
Office (225) 635-6428
Fax (225) 635-6996
tboyett@wfpso.org
tcboyett@bellsouth.net
wfpeoc@att.net
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